Prediction of Daniil Glinka vs Tom Gentzsch at Bergamo Challenger 11-19-25

• In terms of second serve performance over the last six months, Daniil Glinka holds a slight edge, winning 46.08% of points compared to Tom Gentzsch's 44.27%. Could this small difference tilt the match in Glinka's favor?
• When it comes to returning their opponent's second serve, Gentzsch outperforms Glinka, winning 44.54% versus Glinka's 42.75%. Will this give Gentzsch a tactical advantage?
• The first-serve return stats are nearly identical, with Glinka at 24.62% and Gentzsch at 24.55%.
• Both players are closely matched in terms of breakpoint saving ability, with Gentzsch at 53.39% and Glinka at 53.20%.
• Over the past year, Glinka's match win rate of 72.29% exceeds Gentzsch's 63.41%. Does Glinka’s overall consistency make him the favorite?
• Surface preferences reveal that Glinka's best surface is indoor hard courts, while Gentzsch excels on clay. This match's surface could influence the outcome significantly.
• Both have similar success rates in ITF tournaments, winning 70.83% of their matches over the past year, but event level and competition can influence predictions.
• Glinka has faced opponents with an average rank of 427.05, slightly lower than Gentzsch who faced 418.98-ranked players.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Glinka's 58% win rate in those scenarios outshines Gentzsch's 44%.
• Glinka has a marginal advantage in converting breakpoints, converting 26.94% compared to Gentzsch’s 25.77%.

Editorial Prediction (November 18, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performance trends, Daniil Glinka holds a slight edge in several key areas, including second serve performance and overall match win percentage. His ability to consistently win points on second serves and his superior performance in deciding sets indicate resilience under pressure.

Tom Gentzsch, on the other hand, shines in returning second serves, potentially offering strategic opportunities to challenge Glinka. However, the surface preference may not favor Gentzsch, given his stronger record on clay compared to the current playing conditions.

Ultimately, while both players have qualities that could shift the match dynamics, Daniil Glinka appears slightly better positioned to secure a victory by leveraging his comprehensive match experience and surface affinity.